Daily Analysis | EUR/USD | 9 of October

Posted 09 October, 2017

The U.S. Economy lost approximately 33k jobs in September according to latest NFP report. The unemployment rate dropped 0.2% to 4.2%, while wages jumped 0.5%. Worse than expected NFP result was primarily due to hurricanes on the U.S. coast and in my opinion, it doesn't reflect the USD weakness at all as the prior jobs and wages were both revised higher.
The EUR/USD is undergoing a retracement from the drop that tested W L4 -1.1674 -1.1654 zone. POC 1.1745-65 (order block, 88.6, D H3, atr pivot, PPR channel top, historical sellers) could reject the price and as long as the pair is below 1.1780 we might see another retest of 1.1674-54 zone. Strong marubozu candle or 4h close below 1.1711 - red trend line, might bring a continuation move towards the 1.1674 and 1.1654 zone.

W H3 - Weekly Camarilla Pivot (Weekly Interim Resistance)
W H4 - Weekly Camarilla Pivot (Strong Weekly Resistance)
D H4 - Daily Camarilla Pivot (Very Strong Daily Resistance)
D L3 – Daily Camarilla Pivot (Daily Support)
D L4 – Daily H4 Camarilla (Very Strong Daily Support)
PPR - Progressive Polynomial Channel
POC - Point Of Confluence (The zone where we expect price to react aka entry zone)
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                                                                                                                 By Nenad Kerkez | Admiral Markets


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Previous forecast

11 October, 2017 12:30

← Daily Analysis | EUR/USD | 11 of October

The EUR/USD is in a strong bullish trend and as we can see on the chart the price has pierced through 1.1800 driven by risk sentiment and the Spain situation. Today FOMC meeting minutes are the most important event so we might see two-way price action. At this point the price is still going up straight from the trend line and 23.6 fib.

Daily Analysis | EUR/USD | 11 of October

Next forecast

05 October, 2017 13:23

Daily Analysis | EUR/USD | 5 of October →

The EUR/USD is trying to break the downward PPR channel and at the same time push above the AP channel. I am favoring a bullish bias as long as 1.1692 holds as I previously analysed in the EUR/USD analysis. If bullish scenario persists 1.1822 is the target followed by 1.1873 and 1.1916. Of course, for that to happen bullish momentum needs to be strong. 

Daily Analysis | EUR/USD | 5 of October
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